EU Funding Seventh Framework Programme
Visit 7 Cooperation website

Projections

Projections

MedSea Projections

Under all future carbon emission scenarios from the IPCC, it is well known that ocean acidification will intensify. Global-scale models confirm this overall trend while providing a more realistic regional picture, relative to simple equilibrium calculations, particularly for key areas where there is substantial air-sea disequilibrium. The MedSeA project will expand projections of acidification to include the Mediterranean Sea by relying on modelling tools, which themselves will rely on experimental results.

Specific objectives

  • Simulate past and current basin-wide distributions of pH, carbonate saturation states, and related carbon-system variables.
  • Project changes in pH, carbonate saturation states, and related carbon-system variables during the 21st century.
  • Assess the response of the pelagic food web and the impact on selected organisms of ecological and economic importance.
  • Distinguish the impacts of increasing acidification and climate change on the carbonate system variables and the role played by pelagic biotic processes.
  • Produce multivariate maps of vulnerability to ocean acidification according to 21st century climate change scenarios.



  The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2013) under grant agreement n° 265103
Arabic Chinese English French Spanish